LBDG Framework
Disclosure Impact Matrix
Direction is certain. Velocity is not. Your preparedness level determines where your organization stands when each disclosure threshold is crossed.
Disclosure path — direction certain, velocity unknown
A
B1
B2
C — end state
Scenario A
UAP origin officially attributed to NHI. No crafts, tech or biologics confirmed.
Scenario B1
Crash retrieval confirmed. No technology mastered or disclosed.
Scenario B2(optional)
Partial reverse engineering confirmed. Tech held as national asset.
Scenario C
Confirmed ongoing contact with non-human intelligence.
Prepared
Protocols in place. Board-level readiness. Gradual disclosure absorbed into planning.
Manageable
Markets absorb within days. Messaging activated. No governance gap exposed.
Manageable
Orderly sector rotation. Defense and materials reposition ahead of market.
Disruptive
Energy horizon visible at 20–30y. Prepared orgs reposition. Recovery within months.
Transformative
Deep restructuring required. Playbooks activate. Survival likely with prior architecture.
Partial
Awareness growing. Some protocols exist. Governments behind curve.
↳ Current state.
Manageable
Public surprise, limited org impact. Prepared orgs gain immediate credibility advantage.
Disruptive
2–8 week drawdown. Prepared orgs outperform. Unprepared freeze at board level.
Transformative
Board-level restructuring required. Non-prepared orgs structurally disadvantaged.
Systemic
Existing frameworks fail. Crisis architecture needed but incomplete. No recovery timeline.
Unprepared
No protocols. Complete surprise. No board-level readiness. No playbook exists.
Disruptive
Narrative crisis. Stakeholder panic. No messaging ready. Recovery 2–6 weeks.
Transformative
Governance vacuum. Leadership exposed. Boards demand answers no one has.
Systemic
Supply chains, energy, capital markets repriced simultaneously. No playbook.
Existential
Civilization-scale reorientation. No functioning playbook. Organizational survival in question.
Governance agility as a modifier
A board that takes three weeks to approve a press release shifts your effective position downward on the preparedness axis — regardless of which protocols exist on paper. Preparedness is not just having the playbook. It is the speed at which your organization can activate it.
The velocity variable
The faster disclosure moves from A to C, the less time organizations have to climb the preparedness axis. A slow trajectory over 3–5 years allows adaptation. An abrupt jump — leak, arrival, uncontrolled event — compresses that window to days. You cannot control the scenario. You can only control where you stand on the Y axis when each threshold is crossed.
Three probable trajectories
Where is the world heading — and how fast?
Current trajectory
World is at A/Partial today — PURSUE releases ongoing. Gradual drift toward B1 over 12–24 months. Organizations that act now move up the Y axis before the next threshold is crossed.
Ideal trajectory
Preparedness grows faster than disclosure intensity. Organizations stay in green/yellow even as scenarios escalate. Requires action before the next tranche — not after.
Catastrophic trajectory
Abrupt jump to C with world at Unprepared — arrival scenario, uncontrolled leak, or intelligence failure. Bottom-right cell. No playbook exists. This is the scenario that justifies building the infrastructure now.
From matrix to action
Identify your scenario. Access the right toolkit.
Each toolkit maps directly to the matrix. Start where you are.
All scenarios
HR Toolkit
Workforce readiness, psychological protocols, internal comms.
B1 → C
Finance Toolkit
Asset rotation, sector exposure, treasury protocols.
All scenarios
Communications Toolkit
Stakeholder messaging, crisis comms, media frameworks.
B2 → C
Leadership & Board Toolkit
Board-level governance, decision architecture, scenario planning.