Disclosure Signal Board
Verified institutional signals tracking the bureaucratic, legislative, and financial velocity of the disclosure process. Sources: DoD, NASA, CNES, Deloitte AG, Bank of England, CBOE, U.S. Congress, Japan Diet. No unverified speculation.
LBDG · Institutional Signal Chart
65 verified institutional events — 1946 to 2026
Each square = one verified event. Click for source. Opacity reflects weight (1.0 / 0.8 / 0.5).
1946–2016
24
71 years
2017–2025
30
8 years
2026
11
ongoing
LBDG EDITORIAL · VERIFIED SOURCES ONLY · readyfordisclosure.com · 65 verified events 1946–2026
LBDG · Disclosure Maturity Tracker
How far has each institutional track actually progressed?
Seven independent tracks, each with its own logical milestones from zero institutional engagement to full transparency. Milestones are validated against named institutions and primary sources only — no track is assumed to follow another's pace.
Military
3 / 6 achievedUAPTF (2020), then AARO (2022) — both publicly mandated and funded.
Both units announced via official DoD press release.
AARO accepts reports including from personnel under NDA, with legal anti-reprisal protections — but no documented case confirms the remedy has been used or enforced.
Fravor (2023) and Grusch (2023) both testified under oath to congressional oversight.
Alleged by testimony; not formally investigated or confirmed by any institutional body.
No public doctrine exists.
Government
4 / 6 achievedAATIP (2007), DIA-funded, $22M.
Confirmed via funding process and Senate records.
ODNI (2021), AARO FY2024 Annual Report — 1,652 cases, 21 anomalous.
NARA holds an archival mandate, not independent declassification authority. This is the structural gap.
Trump Truth Social directive, Feb 2026 — a directive, not a formal executive order.
PURSUE releases remain case-by-case reviewed tranches, not automatic.
Legislative
2 / 5 achievedOngoing per AARO semi-annual reporting requirement to Congress.
2022, 2023, 2024 hearings — Grusch, Fravor, Elizondo, Gallaudet all under oath.
General federal whistleblower statutes apply; no UAP-specific protection law with a dedicated complaint channel exists yet.
Amnesty provisions exist in the blocked UAPDA bill text — not yet enacted law.
UAPDA blocked for three consecutive NDAA cycles (FY2024, FY2025, FY2026).
Scientific
2 / 7 achievedKnuth et al. (2019, 2025) — methodology and data disclosed in journal publications.
AARO publishes summary reports, not raw calibrated sensor data. This is the field’s core chokepoint.
Galileo Project (Harvard, 2021), NASA independent study team (2021).
VASCO/Villarroel results (2025) have been independently re-analyzed by separate researchers with shared data — a genuine first instance. But one case is not yet a pattern; multi-site observational replication is still explicitly pending per the authors themselves.
No evidence yet of independent engagement from fields outside physics/aerospace.
No consensus statement exists.
Not present in standard science curricula.
International
1 / 5 achievedGEIPAN (France, 1977) — the most mature single-state program globally, still active.
Japan’s analysis of US-released PURSUE files is unilateral review of public material, not a sharing arrangement.
No evidence of alliance-level UAP information sharing.
No joint statement exists.
No treaty framework exists.
Financial
3 / 6 achievedHelen McCaw, former Bank of England analyst, Jan 2026.
Deloitte AG GPMESII 2026 Risk Intelligence Report — credible Black Swan classification.
No SEC, AMF, or equivalent regulator requires UAP-related risk disclosure.
UFOD ETF, CBOE, Feb 2026 — first listed UAP disclosure fund.
McCaw spoke as a former analyst, not as an institutional position of the Bank of England.
No attribution study yet isolates UAP-related signal from other macro factors.
Media
1 / 5 achievedNew York Times, Dec 2017 — AATIP revelation, first Navy videos.
Broad coverage exists but is reactive to single events, not independent multi-outlet corroboration of a specific claim.
"The Age of Disclosure" (2025) is a strong single instance — Rubio, Stratton, Carson on record. Not yet a recurring occurrence.
No dedicated specialist correspondents at major outlets; coverage remains event-driven.
No longitudinal survey data supports this yet.
Worth noting: Government, Scientific, and Financial each show the same pattern — a visible, fast-moving milestone was reached while a structurally accountable one was skipped (an executive directive before an independent declassification authority; a funded research program before raw data release; a financial product before a disclosure mandate). Politically and commercially convenient steps consistently outpace structurally accountable ones.
UAP Science Advisory Council mandated — Avi Loeb chair (provisional)
White House, AARO, ODNI, and FBI jointly mandate UAP Science Advisory Council. Avi Loeb provisionally appointed chair. First multi-agency mandated scientific council on UAP.
Loeb Medium post — Jun 12 2026PURSUE Tranche 3 — 53 files, 6 videos, NASA audio, mother orb incident
Third PURSUE release: 53 documents, 10 images, 6 videos, 3 NASA audio recordings. Key document: orange "mother" orb launching smaller red orbs over sensitive national security site — 40% remains unexplained.
war.gov/ufo, June 12 2026Full UAPDA deposited to House Rules Committee — Amendment BURLIS_087
Rep. Burlison deposits complete 62-page UAP Disclosure Act to House Rules Committee for NDAA FY2027. Establishes NARA records collection, independent Review Board, eminent domain over recovered NHI tech, 25-year classification ceiling.
House Rules Committee — BURLIS_087, Jun 17 2026UAP Governance Board holds first meeting — ODNI oversight confirmed
UAP Governance Board convenes for the first time in June 2026 under ODNI oversight. Board brings together military, law enforcement, and intelligence community to coordinate UAP policy. Confirmed by AP, The Hill, WBUR. Distinct from and superior to the Loeb Science Advisory Council, which reports to the Board.
AP / The Hill / WBUR — Jul 1 2026PURSUE Tranche 1 — 162 classified files released at war.gov/ufo
First PURSUE release: 162 classified files from CIA, FBI, NASA, DoD released at war.gov/ufo. Secretary Hegseth confirms AARO caseload exceeds 2,000 reports dating to 1945.
DoD / war.gov/ufo May 8 2026PURSUE Tranche 2 — additional files, videos, NASA audio released
Second PURSUE release: additional classified files, videos, and NASA audio recordings released at war.gov/ufo.
DoD / war.gov/ufo May 2026Rep. Luna: personally viewed evidence of non-human origin in SCIF
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna publicly states she personally viewed evidence of non-human origin in a classified SCIF briefing.
Rep. Luna public statement Apr 29 2026Japan proposes Cabinet Office UAP body — AARO equivalent
Japan's bipartisan UAP caucus formally proposes a dedicated UAP framework under the Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary for Crisis Management.
UFOD ETF launches on CBOE — first UAP disclosure fund
Tuttle Capital launches UFO Disclosure ETF (CBOE: UFOD). First UAP disclosure fund listed on a regulated exchange.
CBOE / NasdaqPresidential directive — all federal agencies to release UAP files
Trump directs DoD and all federal agencies to begin identifying and releasing files related to UAP, alien and extraterrestrial life. First presidential directive of its kind.
Truth Social / DefenseScoopBank of England analyst urges central bank UAP preparedness
Helen McCaw, former senior Bank of England analyst, publicly warns UAP disclosure could cause ontological shock with significant market instability. Urges central banks to begin preparedness planning.
"The Age of Disclosure" — 34 senior officials on record
Dan Farah's documentary features 34 senior US government, military, and intelligence officials on record — including Secretary of State Rubio and former UAP Task Force Director Stratton. Released on Amazon Prime.
Amazon Prime Nov 2025Villarroel/VASCO — two peer-reviewed papers on anomalous stellar events
Two peer-reviewed papers in Scientific Reports and PASP from VASCO project. Documents anomalous stellar events potentially consistent with technosignatures.
Scientific Reports Oct 2025; PASP Oct 2025House Oversight Task Force — MQ-9 Yemen footage presented on record
House Oversight UAP Task Force hearing. MQ-9 drone footage of UAP over Yemen presented on congressional record. Knapp, Borland, Nuccetelli testify.
Congress.gov; C-SPAN Sep 9 2025Knuth et al. — "The New Science of UAP" peer-reviewed
Knuth et al. publish comprehensive peer-reviewed review of 20 government UAP studies in Progress in Aerospace Sciences. 33 authors. Concludes UAP represent a legitimate scientific phenomenon requiring systematic study.
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Vol.156, DOI 10.1016/j.paerosci.2025.101097Deloitte classifies NHI disclosure as credible Black Swan
Deloitte AG 2026 Risk Intelligence Report (GPMESII analysis) includes NHI disclosure as credible Black Swan. Probability: 2/5 within 5 years. Impact: market disruption, institutional trust collapse, narrative polarization.
Deloitte AG GPMESII 2026 reportPartial UAP disclosure legislation signed into NDAA FY2025
Additional UAP disclosure provisions signed into NDAA FY2025. UAPDA amnesty provisions again excluded under DoD pressure.
NDAA FY2025 / White HouseAARO FY2024 Annual Report — 1,652 cases, 21 anomalous, co-signed by 20+ agencies
AARO publishes FY2024 Annual Report: 1,652 UAP reports processed, 21 categorized as anomalous with no prosaic explanation. Co-signed by NSA, CIA, FBI, NASA and 17 additional agencies — the broadest inter-agency UAP endorsement in US history.
AARO / DoD FY2024 Annual ReportHouse Oversight "Exposing the Truth" — Elizondo, Gallaudet, Shellenberger testify
Second major House UAP hearing. Former AATIP director Elizondo, former NASA deputy Gallaudet, and journalist Shellenberger testify about extreme over-classification and lack of transparency.
Congress.gov; C-SPAN Nov 13 2024Senate Armed Services — AARO Director Kosloski testifies
Senate Armed Services hearing with AARO Director Tim Kosloski on UAP caseload, methodology, and interagency coordination.
Senate Armed Services Committee Nov 2024Japan: 80+ Diet members form bipartisan UAP caucus
Non-partisan group chaired by former Defence Minister Yasukazu Hamada forms Japan's first cross-party UAP caucus. Has hosted briefings with US AARO officials and Navy pilots.
Japan Diet official records Jun 2024AARO Historical Record Report Vol.1 published
AARO publishes official history of US government UAP programs — cleared for open publication. Covers programs from 1945 to present.
DoD/AARO; cleared for open publication Mar 6 2024Bipartisan UAP Disclosure Act — partial version signed into NDAA FY2024
Schumer/Rounds bipartisan UAP Disclosure Act signed into partial law as part of NDAA FY2024. Requires federal agencies to organize and transfer UAP records to National Archives.
Senate records; NDAA FY2024; White HouseSol Foundation inaugural symposium — Nell, Grusch, Gallaudet at Stanford
Karl Nell, David Grusch, Sean Kirkpatrick, and others speak on record at first Sol Foundation symposium at Stanford.
Sol Foundation / Stanford Nov 17-18 2023NASA UAP Independent Study Report published
NASA publishes independent UAP study report. Conclusions: UAP are a legitimate scientific problem, stigma must be removed, better data collection needed. NASA names permanent UAP coordinator Mark McInerney.
NASA official report Sep 14 2023Sol Foundation established at Stanford — private UAP research foundation
Sol Foundation established at Stanford University to fund rigorous scientific and policy research on UAP and its implications.
Sol Foundation press release Aug 15 2023US House UAP Caucus launched — bipartisan + ICIG letter
Rep. Burchett launches bipartisan House UAP Caucus. Formal letter sent to Intelligence Community Inspector General requesting investigation into UAP programs.
Rep. Tim Burchett official House press release Aug 22 2023Grusch, Graves, Fravor sworn testimony — crash retrieval programs
David Grusch (ex-NGA/AARO) testifies under oath: the US operates secret programs for recovery and analysis of non-human craft and biological materials. Ryan Graves and David Fravor corroborate UAP encounters. First sworn testimony of its kind in US congressional history.
Congress.gov; C-SPAN Jul 26 2023Senate Armed Services — AARO Director Kirkpatrick testifies
Sen. Gillibrand chairs first Senate Armed Services hearing on UAP. AARO Director Kirkpatrick testifies on caseload and methodology.
Senate Armed Services Committee Apr 19 2023AARO established — first permanent Pentagon UAP office
All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office established by NDAA 2022 mandate. First permanent, centralized UAP investigation office at the Pentagon.
DoD / NDAA FY2022; DoD press release Jul 15 2022First public UAP congressional hearing in 50+ years
House Intelligence Subcommittee holds first public UAP hearing since 1966. Pentagon officials Bray and Moultrie testify UAP represent real flight safety and national security concerns.
Congress.gov; C-SPAN May 17 2022NASA establishes formal independent UAP study team
NASA establishes formal independent UAP study team under Dr. David Spergel. First official NASA engagement with UAP as a scientific topic.
NASA official announcement Sep 2021Galileo Project — Harvard systematic UAP observation program
Prof. Avi Loeb launches Galileo Project at Harvard — systematic scientific UAP observation program using calibrated telescope arrays.
Harvard Crimson Aug 2021; Space.com Jul 26 2021ODNI Preliminary Assessment — 144 UAP cases, 143 unexplained
First-ever unclassified UAP report delivered to Congress. 144 military cases examined, 143 remain unexplained. Confirms UAP represent a real flight safety and national security concern.
ODNI report Jun 25 2021Obama publicly acknowledges unidentified aerial objects
Former President Obama publicly acknowledges existence of unidentified aerial objects that cannot be explained — first such statement by a former US president.
CBS Late Late Show May 2021UAP Task Force established — first publicly acknowledged DoD UAP unit
Deputy SecDef Norquist establishes UAP Task Force under the Navy. First publicly acknowledged DoD UAP investigation unit.
DoD press release Aug 4 2020Pentagon officially releases and confirms three Navy UAP videos
DoD officially releases FLIR, Gimbal, GoFast videos to clear up misconceptions. First time DoD officially validates military UAP encounters. Objects remain unidentified.
DoD official statement Apr 27 2020Japan MoD issues formal UAP documentation directives
Japan Ministry of Defence issues formal directives to Self-Defense Forces on UAP documentation and reporting procedures.
Japan MoD official directive Apr 2020US Navy officially acknowledges UAP video authenticity
US Navy officially acknowledges authenticity of three UAP encounter videos via spokesman Joseph Gradisher. First formal military acknowledgment of UAP video evidence.
CNN Sep 18 2019; UPI Sep 19 2019Peer-reviewed: UAP flight characteristics exceed known physics
Knuth, Powell & Reali publish quantitative analysis of UAP kinematics in peer-reviewed journal Entropy. Concluded observed accelerations and speeds far exceed known aerospace capability.
Entropy 2019 21(10) 939; DOI 10.3390/e21100939NYT reveals AATIP — $22M secret Pentagon UAP program
NYT publishes investigation revealing AATIP. First Navy UAP video published. DoD confirms existence. Marks permanent entry of UAP into institutional mainstream discourse.
NYT Dec 16 2017 (Cooper, Blumenthal, Kean)Argentina creates CEFAe — Air Force UAP investigation office
Argentina formally establishes CITEDEF's UAP investigation office under the Air Force, continuing Latin America's tradition of formal government UAP engagement.
Argentine Air Force official recordsUK MoD closes UFO desk and public hotline
UK MoD closes its UFO investigation desk and public reporting hotline, citing lack of defence value. Institutional retraction after decades of formal engagement.
UK National Archives press release; Dr. David ClarkeAATIP established — $22M DIA-funded secret Pentagon UAP program
Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program secretly established under Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid initiative. $22M allocated from DIA budget. Ran 2007–2012, continued informally after.
DoD / Senate records; Harry Reid statements; FOIAUSS Nimitz Tic-Tac encounter — FLIR video recorded, officially confirmed 2020
Navy pilots encounter Tic-Tac UAP exhibiting flight characteristics beyond known aerospace capability. FLIR video recorded and classified. Officially confirmed by DoD in April 2020.
DoD / NAVAIR FOIA; officially confirmed Apr 2020Chile creates CEFAA — official UAP investigation under Civil Aviation Authority
Chile establishes CEFAA under the Civil Aviation Authority — one of the most scientifically rigorous official UAP programs, with multidisciplinary investigation teams.
CEFAA official records; dgac.gob.clProject Condign — UK Defence Intelligence Staff secret UAP study
UK Defence Intelligence Staff commissions secret UAP study. Released 2006 via FOIA. Concluded UAP are real phenomena worthy of scientific study.
UK National Archives (released 2006 via FOIA)CRIDOVNI — Uruguay Air Force official UAP commission
Uruguay establishes CRIDOVNI by presidential decree — official UAP investigation commission under Air Force authority. Still active.
Established by presidential decree 1979Institute 22 — Soviet Academy of Sciences + MoD UAP program
Soviet Union establishes joint Academy of Sciences and Ministry of Defence UAP investigation program. One of the largest government-funded UAP research efforts in history.
Wikipedia; Skeptical Inquirer; Moscow TimesOperação Prato — Brazilian Air Force official UAP investigation
Brazilian Air Force launches official UAP investigation of Colares Island incidents following reports of injuries to civilians from aerial phenomena.
Brazilian National Archives; Oct 1977France creates GEPAN/GEIPAN — world's first official government UAP program
GEPAN created within CNES at initiative of Defence Ministry. Now GEIPAN (since 2005), still active with 3,200+ archived cases, 3% unexplained after exhaustive analysis. Longest-running official government UAP program in the world.
CNES official records; GEIPAN official siteProject Blue Book terminated — 12,618 cases archived, 701 unexplained
Project Blue Book closed following the Condon Report. 12,618 cases archived, 701 remain officially unexplained. USAF withdraws from public UAP investigation for decades.
USAF termination order Dec 17 1969; Condon Report 1968Condon Committee commissioned — Air Force-funded UAP study
University of Colorado UFO Project commissioned by the Air Force. Led by physicist Edward Condon. Concluded in 1968 that further study lacked scientific merit — a conclusion disputed by many committee members.
Condon Report (1968); CU Boulder archives; AARO Historical Report Vol.1CIA Robertson Panel — systematic public debunking recommended
CIA-sponsored Robertson Panel recommends an active public debunking campaign to reduce public interest in UAP. For the next 60 years, this shapes official government communication on the topic.
CIA declassified report (FOIA); declassified 1966Washington DC UAP flyover — radar confirmed, jets scrambled
Multiple UAP tracked on radar over Washington DC restricted airspace. Jets scrambled from Andrews AFB. Front-page news nationally. USAF holds largest press conference since WWII.
National Archives Identifier 595553Project Second Storey — Canadian inter-agency UAP committee
Canada establishes inter-agency UAP committee under the Defence Research Board.
University of Toronto UTIAS; Apr 1952Project Blue Book established — USAF official investigation
USAF establishes Project Blue Book as the primary official investigation of UAP. Would run until 1969, examining 12,618 reports.
USAF / National Archives; BritannicaProject Magnet — Transport Canada official UAP study program
Canada establishes Project Magnet under Transport Canada — one of the first government-funded scientific UAP research programs.
Canadian Archives BAC-LAC; approved Dec 2 1950UK Flying Saucer Working Party — MoD first official UFO study
UK Ministry of Defence establishes Flying Saucer Working Party — first official British government study of unidentified aerial phenomena.
UK National Archives DEFE 44/119; Oct 1950Project Twinkle — USAF investigation of green fireballs near nuclear facilities
USAF establishes Project Twinkle to investigate recurring green fireball phenomena reported near nuclear facilities in New Mexico.
USAF declassified Project Twinkle final report Nov 1951Project Grudge established — pivot to public containment
USAF replaces Project Sign with Project Grudge, pivoting toward public debunking and containment of UAP reports.
USAF official records; National ArchivesProject Sign established — first official USAF UAP investigation
First official USAF UAP investigation program established following wave of sightings including the Roswell incident.
USAF official recordsRoswell — USAF issues and retracts "flying disc" statement
USAF issues and immediately retracts a statement about a recovered "flying disc" following the Roswell incident. Beginning of sustained institutional secrecy policy that would last decades.
DoD/USAF official recordsUS Army Air Forces Ghost Rocket investigation — Gen. Vandenberg directive
US Army Air Forces Intelligence launches investigation into Ghost Rocket phenomenon following Gen. Vandenberg directive. Documented in National Archives and CIA declassified documents.
National Archives; CIA declassified documents; Vandenberg memo Aug 1946Swedish Defence Staff Ghost Rocket investigation — official committee established
Official investigation committee established by Swedish Defence Staff to investigate wave of unidentified aerial objects over Scandinavia. Formally documented in National Archives memo Dec 3 1946.
National Archives memo Dec 3 1946; Swedish Defence Staff documentsAll signals derived exclusively from verifiable institutional sources. DVI is an LBDG editorial assessment — not a prediction of disclosure timing. Scale: 0–3 Baseline · 3–5 Monitor · 5–7 Readiness · 7–9 Activation · 9–10 Critical. Dataset: 65 verified events 1946–2026. This page does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice.