LBDG · INSTITUTIONAL DISCLOSURE TRACKER · LAST UPDATED MAY 2026

Disclosure Signal Board

Verified institutional signals tracking the bureaucratic, legislative, and financial velocity of the disclosure process. Sources: DoD, NASA, CNES, Deloitte AG, Bank of England, CBOE, U.S. Congress, Japan Diet. No unverified speculation.

DISCLOSURE VELOCITY INDEX (DVI)
6.2/10ELEVATED
1 — Denial4 — Leaks7 — Pre-Disclosure10 — Confirmed

Active declassification (PURSUE), presidential directive, financial sector pricing (UFOD ETF). System jammed at amnesty legislation — the last institutional gate before open confirmation.

SINCERITY SCORE (ISS)
64%

PURSUE files, sworn testimony, bipartisan hearings. Offset by pre-reviewed documents and UAPDA blocked twice. Improving but not yet audited military telemetry.

CRITICAL SIGNALS
6
HIGH SIGNALS
4
TOTAL SIGNALS
19
DISCLOSURE HORIZON — INSTITUTIONAL PHASE TRACKER
Whistleblower Filings
Grusch 2023 Protected disclosures
Closed-Door Briefings
Congressional Intel Committee briefings
Official Investigation
AARO created NASA study 2022-23
CURRENT
Amnesty Legislation
UAPDA blocked FY2024-2025-2026
PARALLEL
Mass Declassification
PURSUE launched May 2026 (parallel)
Multi-Nation Alignment
Japan, EU, Canada gaining momentum
Official Confirmation
Executive / multi-gov announcement

CURRENT BOTTLENECKSystem cleared phases 1–3. Phase 4 (amnesty legislation) blocked from NDAA FY2024, FY2025, FY2026. PURSUE (phase 5) running in parallel via executive order — signaling pressure to bypass the legislative gate.

SECTOR RISK HEATMAP — DVI 6.2
Defense — circle of trust
B1/B2/C
Cybersecurity / EW
All
Gold / Safe havens
All
Rare earths / Materials
B2
Consumer staples
C rotation
Defense — legacy exposure
B2/C legal
Media / Information
A/B1
Financials / Banks
B1/C
Airlines / Travel
A/B1/C
Energy (conventional)
B2 20-30y only
OpportunityWatchHigh risk
SIGNAL VELOCITY — INSTITUTIONAL VS MEDIA ATTENTION
051020172019202120232025
Institutional actionMedia coverage

The gap between institutional action and public awareness is the preparation window. When lines converge, it will be too late to prepare.

SYSTEM ALERT — TRIGGER STATUS
PURSUE active
162 files released May 2026
HIT
UAPDA amnesty blocked
FY2026 — third year
HIT
Presidential EO issued
Feb 20, 2026
HIT
Financial ETF launched
UFOD on CBOE Feb 2026
HIT
Central bank warning
Bank of England Jan 2026
HIT
Amnesty bill signed
Not yet — key gate
WATCH
Defense contractor CDS
Monitor quarterly
WATCH
Multi-gov coordination
Japan signals aligning
WATCH
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS AT CURRENT DVI 6.2
CATEGORY
STRENGTH
19 SIGNALS — MOST RECENT FIRST
HIGHinternationalNEWJapan
May 11, 2026
Japanese Government

Japan analyzes Pentagon UAP files near Japan "with great interest"

Japan's government spokesman confirms Tokyo is analyzing the Pentagon PURSUE files "with great interest," including two videos of UAP spotted near Japan in 2024. Signals active international coordination.

Japan Times
CRITICALgovernmentNEWUSA
May 8, 2026
Department of War (formerly DoD)

Pentagon launches PURSUE — 162 UAP files released

Trump executive order triggers mass declassification. PURSUE (war.gov/ufo) launches with 162 files from FBI, DoD, NASA, State Dept. Rolling release ongoing. Secretary Hegseth confirms AARO caseload exceeds 2,000 reports dating to 1945.

DoD / war.gov/ufo
CRITICALinternationalNEWJapan
Mar 24, 2026
Japanese Diet UAP Caucus

Japan proposes Cabinet Office UAP body — AARO equivalent

Following Trump's executive order, Japan's bipartisan UAP caucus (80+ Diet members) formally proposes a dedicated UAP framework under the Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary for Crisis Management — moving UAP from MoD to the Cabinet Office.

HIGHgovernmentUSA
Feb 25, 2026
Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth

DoD confirms AARO caseload: 2,000+ reports back to 1945

Defense Secretary Hegseth publicly confirms AARO is tracking over 2,000 UAP reports dating back to 1945. States Pentagon is "eager" to comply with Trump executive order and that "more is coming."

DefenseScoop
CRITICALgovernmentNEWUSA
Feb 20, 2026
White House / President Trump

Presidential executive order: identify and release UAP files

Trump directs DoD and all federal agencies to "begin the process of identifying and releasing Government files related to alien and extraterrestrial life, UAP, and UFOs." First presidential directive of its kind in history.

Truth Social / DefenseScoop
CRITICALfinancialNEWUSA
Feb 5, 2026
Tuttle Capital Management

UFOD ETF launches on CBOE — first UAP disclosure fund

Tuttle Capital launches the UFO Disclosure ETF (CBOE: UFOD), investing in aerospace, defense, advanced materials and energy companies positioned to benefit from NHI technology disclosure. Launched following Bank of England analyst warning. $2.9M AUM at launch.

CBOE / Nasdaq
CRITICALfinancialNEWUK
Jan 18, 2026
Bank of England (former analyst)

Bank of England analyst urges central bank preparedness

Helen McCaw, former senior Bank of England analyst, publicly warns that UAP disclosure could cause "ontological shock" with significant market instability. Urges central banks to begin preparedness planning. First such warning from a major financial institution.

HIGHfinancialInternational
Jan 1, 2026
Deloitte AG

Deloitte classifies NHI disclosure as credible Black Swan

Deloitte AG 2026 Risk Intelligence Report (GPMESII analysis) includes "Non-Human Intelligence Disclosure" as a Social domain scenario. Probability: 2/5 within 5 years. Impact: market and societal disruption, international relations, science domain. Tags: Ontological Shock, Institutional Trust, Narrative Polarisation.

Deloitte AG 2026
CRITICALgovernmentNEWUSA
Nov 21, 2025
Farah Films / Amazon Prime Video

"The Age of Disclosure" — 34 senior officials on record, including the Secretary of State

Dan Farah's documentary features 34 senior U.S. government, military, and intelligence officials — including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, former DNI James Clapper, and former UAP Task Force Director Jay Stratton. Released on Prime Video after debuting at SXSW. Key on-record statements: Rubio: "We've had repeated instances of something operating in the airspace over restricted nuclear facilities — and it's not ours." and "Even presidents have been operating on a need-to-know basis, but that begins to ramp out of control." Stratton (former UAP Task Force Director): "I have seen, with my own eyes, non-human craft and non-human beings." Rep. André Carson (House Intelligence Committee): "These are otherworldly things that are performing maneuvers that haven't been seen." The sitting U.S. Secretary of State on record about UAPs penetrating nuclear airspace is without precedent in the history of institutional disclosure.

Amazon Prime Video
HIGHlegislativeUSA
Sep 9, 2025
U.S. House Rules Committee

UAPDA blocked from NDAA FY2026 — second consecutive year

UAP Disclosure Act amendment (Rep. Burlison) blocked from the FY2026 NDAA by the Rules Committee. Second consecutive year of active DoD/AARO opposition to legislative disclosure oversight. Nell: "UAPDA is not optional — catastrophic disclosure risk increases each year it fails."

MEDIUMinternationalJapan
Jun 1, 2024
Japanese Diet

Japan: 80+ lawmakers form bipartisan UAP caucus

Non-partisan group chaired by former Defense Minister Yasukazu Hamada forms Japan's first cross-party UAP caucus. Has hosted briefings with US AARO officials and Navy pilots. Central ask: an AARO-equivalent investigation office.

MEDIUMinternationalEU
Jan 1, 2024
European Parliament

European Parliament pushes for UAP monitoring in EU Space Law

European Parliament moves to include UAP monitoring in forthcoming EU Space Law. European Commission (2025) responds: UAP remains a Member State competence, citing France's GEIPAN as the model. ESA names internal UAP contact point.

MEDIUMscientificUSA
Nov 1, 2023
Sol Foundation / Col. Karl Nell (US Army ret.)

Nell presents controlled vs catastrophic disclosure framework

Retired Army Colonel and UAP Task Force liaison Karl Nell presents a "five-phase disclosure timeline" (2024–2034+) at Stanford's Sol Foundation. Warns that uncontrolled catastrophic disclosure — by an adversary or NHI itself — could cause "societal collapse." Identifies 2026 as the critical pivot year.

MEDIUMscientificUSA
Sep 14, 2023
NASA

NASA UAP report: legitimate scientific and security problem

NASA publishes independent study report. Conclusions: UAP are a legitimate scientific problem, stigma must be removed, better data collection needed. NASA names permanent UAP coordinator Mark McInerney. First official NASA engagement with the topic.

NASA
MEDIUMgovernmentUSA
Jul 26, 2023
U.S. House Oversight Committee

Grusch sworn congressional testimony: crash retrieval programs exist

David Grusch (ex-NGA, ex-AARO) testifies under oath: the US operates secret programs for recovery and analysis of non-human craft and biological materials. First such statement under oath in congressional history. Protected by whistleblower statutes.

C-SPAN / Congress.gov
LOWgovernmentUSA
Jul 15, 2022
U.S. Department of Defense

AARO created — first permanent Pentagon UAP office

All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office established to synchronize UAP collection across all military branches and intelligence agencies. Mandated by Congress in NDAA 2022. Publishes reports to Congress semi-annually.

AARO
LOWgovernmentUSA
Apr 27, 2020
U.S. Department of Defense

Pentagon officially confirms authenticity of Navy UAP videos

DoD releases FLIR, Gimbal, GoFast videos "to clear up any misconception on whether the footage was real." Objects remain officially unidentified. First time DoD officially validates military UAP encounters. Navy separately confirmed authenticity in September 2019.

DoD / NAVAIR FOIA
LOWgovernmentUSA
Dec 16, 2017
New York Times / Pentagon

NYT reveals AATIP — $22M secret Pentagon UAP program

NYT publishes investigation revealing AATIP (Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program) — a $22M DIA program funded by Senator Harry Reid, running 2007–2012. First Navy UAP video published. Marks beginning of mainstream institutional engagement with the topic.

LOWinternationalFrance
Jan 1, 1977
CNES / GEIPAN

France creates GEIPAN — world's first official UAP program (1977)

GEPAN created within CNES at initiative of Defense Ministry. Now GEIPAN (since 2005), still active, 3,200+ archived cases, 3% unexplained. Oversight includes Gendarmerie, Air & Space Force, CNRS, Météo-France. The longest-running official government UAP investigation program in the world.

CNES GEIPAN

All signals derived exclusively from verifiable institutional sources. DVI and ISS are LBDG editorial assessments — not predictions of disclosure timing. Sector heatmap reflects inference from documented market precedents. This page does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice.